Posts Tagged ‘capital projects’

Capital Investments in Refining Expected to Rebound in 2012

Thursday, July 21st, 2011 by admin

In a recent Oil & Gas Journal article, dated July 13, 2011, the International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that after a slow down of refining project investments in 2011, it expects to see an increase in projects completed in 2012, thereby adding 2.4 million bpd in global refining capacity.

The following is a list of projected to complete major projects by end of 2012:

· Motiva’s 325,000 bpd expansion in Port Arthur, Texas

· Mexico’s Minatitlan’s 150,000 bpd expansion

· India’s Bharat Oman’s Bina 120,000 bpd refinery

· India’s HPCL-Mittal Energy Ltd.’s 180,000 bpd refinery

· India’s Essar’s Vadinar 80,000 b/d expansion

It is expected that despite an increase in refining capacity that global demands will reduce surplus capacity thereby improving refining margins. In contrast, Oil & Gas Journal reported in June 2011 to  expect continued weak refining margins for certain products and markets.

True Cost of Energy

Friday, April 29th, 2011 by admin

In light of the recent spikes in the fuel prices, are we yet at the tipping point of paying for the true cost of energy? True cost – it goes beyond the cost to explore, produce, refine and transport. True cost includes the price to the environment short-term and long-term.

In a recent article from the Executive Director of the American Security Project (ASP), a nonprofit, bipartisan national security think tank in Washington D.C., James Ludes discussed the costs of inaction.

“We’re going to pay a price for climate change, whether we try to slow it or not. The data tells us that the cost of doing nothing will far out-weigh the cost of action.”

The article is worth the read as it attempts to quantify the future environmental impacts of climate change – droughts, severe storm damage, flooding, coastal erosion, and drinking water supply to the US economy. The answer it presents is investing in green technology, which would also bolster economic growth.

Older Offshore Rigs Idled for Newer, Higher Performing Rigs

Tuesday, April 12th, 2011 by admin

How has Deepwater Horizon affected the exploration and production market for offshore drilling rigs?

According to this week’s Houston Business Journal, companies are wanting the latest and safest offshore rigs in part due to last year’s oil spill in the Gulf and also due to the demand for greater flexibility and redundancy with high-spec equipment. Thus we are to expect a surge in two things: dismantlement of older rigs and significant capital spend for the newest rigs. Two Houston-based drillers, Nobel Corp. and Transocean, Ltd., both have rigs currently under construction despite having a quite a number of rigs sitting idle.

What do you think - good bet or bad on the future of offshore drilling? (We think good bet, but we are biased.)

Maximizing Cash Flow with Earned Value Systems

Monday, February 28th, 2011 by admin

Earned Value is essentially an integrated schedule progress and cost measurement.

The Earned Value System closely correlates with a projects’ measurement of “percent complete” with project spend. It provides a quantifiable evaluation to the likely cost of the project before it concludes - an Estimate at Completion (EAC).

The EAC is a value of great interest in all projects, since it is an indication of over or under budget, a critical project success factor.

A secondary use for the EAC is to define some joint project control opportunities, leverage or incentives with contractors responsible for project implementation.

Once a system is developed for one project, linking of other like data for multiple projects provides the project-based business more accuracy in determining point-in-time cash flow requirements. On a longer time frame, better point-in-time estimates allow the business manager to free up the project retained cash assets for other projects or revenue generating activities.

Recall that the cost performance of the project directly influences the cash flow of the business. A business that uses the cash flow process to its maximum can turn it into a profit center. Accurate cash flow forecasting provides cash capability in the business enabling liquidity and leverage, and precludes inadvertent over investment within the project system.

Competitive Advantages of Utilizing Best Practices

Monday, August 2nd, 2010 by admin

Capital projects involve an intricate coordination of interdependent activities, resources, and stakeholders to fulfill three (3) primary project expectations: scope, cost, and schedule. When one of these three outputs changes, which inevitably occurs, the other two factors likely increase. This creates havoc to internal budgets, financial metrics, and internal support (a.k.a. – politics.)

Bad news: Projects fail more times than not. Industry surveys covering over 1000 major companies show an average project failure rate of 55% (range from 40 % to 70% failure). The top-noted failure criteria include: 1) finish on-time and in-budget, 2) Exceed budgets, 3) Blown schedules, and 4) Failure to meet requirements. Common reasons offered for these failures include: 1) insufficient up-front planning, 2) incomplete estimates, 3) ignoring requirements, 4) underestimating productivity, 5) poorly defined performance indicators.

Best Practice Advantages

Good news: Industry surveys of over 60 companies show that when Project Management Best Practices are applied, projects are highly successful, beat industry averages (Figure 1), and provide distinctive competitive advantages. Keys to this success includes: 1) careful and complete up-front planning, 2) strongly implemented organization and execution methodologies, 3) complete pre-project risk evaluation, 4) full knowledge of contract provisions, 5) relentless tracking of cost and schedule changes, and 6) transparent communication to all stakeholders, 7) immediate problem resolution.

Successful projects require constant and active participation by all stakeholders to avoid pitfalls and identify opportunities for success. Focusing on the goal of beating the average requires attentiveness to the above key success factors that will drive project success.